Category Archives: Government

Government, Politics, Social Media

Former PNoy Spokesperson Edwin Lacierda A Nate Silver Wanna-be?

Leave a comment
4152342B-0F47-4751-9184-785B9FFE6E15.jpeg
Nate Silver, left, and Lacierda, right

MANILA, Philippines (The Adobo Chronicles, Manila Bureau) – Former NoyNoy Aquino Spokesperson Edwin Lacierda is vying for the title of the “Nate Silver of the Philippines.”

Silver is an American statistician and writer. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and many Americans look to his predictions and calculations when it comes to baseball and politics, especially elections.

Now, Lacierda wants to follow in Silver’s footsteps.

In a Tweet, proudly retweeted by blogger Raïssa Robles, Lacierda came up with some seemingly genius calculation of what it would take for a 2019 Senatorial candidate to make it to the 12th spot in the Magic 12.

This is what Lacierda posted on his Twitter account:

ECADF713-1AEB-402A-9D0C-80E1DA668209.jpeg

Sounds genius, doesn’t it?

Well, we gathered The Adobo Chronicles’ panel of mathematical experts to analyze Lacierda’s analysis.  The verdict: Lacierda’s math is glaringly flawed, just like Leni Robredo’s.

Our experts said that a Senatorial candidate does not have to get 14 Million or 31.44% of the votes to reach 12th spot.

Voters can choose up to 12 candidates in their Senatorial ballots.  Winners are determined by plurality.

In order for a candidate to reach 12th spot, he or she just needs to get the highest number of votes next to the person in the 11th spot.

So, if the candidate in the 11th spot garnered, say, exactly 10 Million votes, and the next two highest vote getters received 10.2 Million and 10.1 Million, respectively, then the 12th spot goes to the candidate with 10.2 Million.  Simple.

So, Mr. Lacierda, we’re sorry to say, you’re no Nate Silver!

 

Government, International, Politics

Adobo Chronicles Fact Checks Leni Robredo’s Washington, D.C. Statement

Leave a comment

 

744EBB6E-52B1-4FEA-95F7-2D002C6D5EAACLAIM: In a response to question about Marawi, during Leni Robredo’s appearance at a forum sponsored by the Center for Stretegic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C., she stated that her office (Office of the Vice President) “has been there during the first day of the siege,” setting up “relief operation.”

FACT: What proof do we need that Robredo’s statement was an outright lie?  How could her office be there on the first day of the siege?  Did she have advanced information that the siege was going to happen that day?  Was her office already IN Marawi when the siege happened? How can her office set up relief operation on the first day of the siege when no one even knew if there would be casualties, injuries or citizens displaced who would need help?  Whose crystal ball did OVP use?

We found this news report where Robredo “ordered’ her staff to “start” relief operations for Marawi siege victims.  It was dated May 24, a day AFTER the start of the siege.  But we can’t imagine that the OVP,  which does not have resources or local staff to deal with situations like this, was able to set up the relief operations within hours or days.  It would take weeks before it could organize the operation and gather relief goods or set up relief services.

Our verdict:

07E67A0E-2DAE-4FA7-B835-70EFF32D4500.jpeg

Here’s a video of Robredo’s statement:

Education, Government, Politics

De La Salle, Ateneo Simultaneously Launch Intramurals On Senatorial Race

Leave a comment

43A3FF29-8801-4B08-AF70-538D905ACC75MANILA, Philippines (The Adobo Chronicles, Manila Bureau) – Arch rivals Ateneo and De La Salle Universities are at it again, re-fueling a feud that has spanned decades.  This time it’s about politics.

On this, the last day for the filing of Certificates of Candidacy for the 2019 Philippine national and local elections, the two elite educational institutions have simultaneously launched media campaigns making clear their choice for Senator.

De La Salle launched its “Lasallians Against Bam Aquino,” while the Ateneans fired off with their “Ateneans against Chel Diokno.”  Aquino and Diokno have both filed their COC for Senator.

Aquino is an alumnus of Ateneo while Diokno is the founding Dean of the De La Salle College of Law.

It seems there can only be one room for an elitist Senator, and only one elite school can reign supreme.